Saturday, September 29, 2007

The Problem with Broken Promises

The problem with Stephen Harper’s broken promises is that they keep coming back to bite him.

The softwood lumber deal (broken promise no.17) took another bite this week, in an article in the National Post a US. Lawyer maintains.

"The [Canadian] government didn't care about lumber," said Elliot Feldman, a Washington, D.C., lawyer who represented Ontario's forest industries before the softwood agreement was made last April. "The government cared about its foreign-policy agenda with the United States and wanted to clear this out of the way. That's all that mattered."

What a surprise, making a good impression with his neo con friends in the Whitehouse was more important than a solemn promise to Canadians, with a little bit more work he could have done both.

Instead after years of campaigning for the return of 100% of the illegal tariffs collected, he left a $1 billion tip on the table in his rush to make new friends.

Don’t get in the way of Stevies real agenda unless you want to become road kill.

Thursday, September 27, 2007

Flaherty’s Folly


In her new Blog Diane Francis of the National Post takes a look at the blunders of Canada’s worse finance minister ever.

It’s well worth a read.

Monday, September 24, 2007

Another One Down


Earth to Flaherty, you have a problem.


Today Prime West Energy Trust agreed to be brought out by
Abu Dhabi National Energy Company of Saudi Arabia for $5 billion.

To date this month we have had buyouts totaling $9 billion at a time when the credit markets are in crisis, just how much would it have been if the markets were normal?

Since Flaherty’s Halloween announcement on income trusts we have had buyouts totaling $26 Billion. Using industry average figures this represents a loss in distributions paid to investors of $2.0-2.5 billion a year and a loss in tax revenue to the government of $780-950 million dollars a year.

In addition we have lost Bell Canada in a similar way for an additional lose of nearly $800 million a year in tax revenue compared to allowing it to convert to an income trust.

This has all been caused by Stephen Harpers disastrous Income Trust policy, it couldn’t have backfired in a more spectacular way, rather than fix an alleged tax leakage problem he has already caused a revenue loss of $1.5 Billion, if nothing is changed and the present trend continues this could lead to $7.5 billion loss in tax revenue each and every year.

Not only is Stephen Harper a liar but his government is financially incompetent in a most spectacular fashion.

Jim McCallum got it right again.

"The irony here is that if they thought a new 31.5 percent tax on income trusts and ending interest deductibility was going to help them fund their GST reduction, the plan has backfired.

Once these companies are bought out by large American firms and private equity groups, they will leverage their debt and pay no taxes at all."

List of buyouts to date.

Friday, September 21, 2007

The Cost of Harper's Broken Promises

Harper's claim to trust and integrity was damaged irreparably from the first day he took office but what about the dollar cost of his broken promises?

Nearly one year after he broke his promise on income trusts we are in a position to put a figure on the cost.

1) A loss of $35 billion and counting to investors.

2) A one time capital gains loss in tax revenue of $1 billion dollars claimed by investors.

3) A loss of approx 800 million in tax revenue due to Bell Canada being sold to private equity and not converting to an Income trust.

4) A loss of about $750 million a year in tax revenue due to the take over by private equity and conversion of income trusts to date


If as seems highly likely the present trend in the industry continues, this loss in tax revenue could easily reach $7.5 Billion a year, something Canadians will have to pay for through reduced government services or higher taxes.

$7.5 Billion dollars is a lot of money equivalent to a 1.5% increase in the GST or $375 per taxpayer, every finance minister’s worse nightmare but do we have a real finance minister?
It doesn’t have to end this way, the problem can still be fixed, the policy tinkered with to avoid the whole sale destruction of the income trust industry and loss of tax revenue.

Breaking the promise can’t have been easy, admitting you got it wrong and fixing it will be even harder.

Friday, September 7, 2007

Tories Scoff At Grit Plan (again)

Anger over trusts runs deep, say Liberals
Tories Scoff At Grit Plan

The Tories again scoff at a Liberal plan that horror of horrors involves consultations with all effected parties not just a handful of the PMO staff some corporate buddies and paranoid bureaucrats.

Ralph Goodale and John Mc-Callum met with 35 oil and gas trust executives, seeking input on their trust policy they claim is garnering support. The two MPs also promised to scrap the Tory legislation in the 2008 budget, provided the Liberals form the next government. "Yes, we think we will get some votes on this issue," said Mr. McCallum

Chisholm Pothier, a spokesman for Finance Minister Jim Flaherty, said the latest Liberal musings on income trusts can't be taken seriously.

Representatives of the usually Conservative energy trust industry said it has been so badly damaged by the Tory move last Halloween they applaud the Liberal move to consult.

Complex issues demand study from all sides a lesson the Grits have learned well, I call it democracy in action a time when everyone has his chance to be heard, Mr Harper calls it dithering

This closed door approach excluding even his own MPs is why the good ship Harper is heading for an iceberg.

One that even his new light duty summer artic patrol boats won’t be able to save him from.

Thursday, September 6, 2007

How to buy your own Income Trust

Many people have been asking how when an income trust is taken over by a private equity fund, pension fund or other form of structure they avoid paying tax?

More importantly how can they get in on the action?

Here is how.

1) You will need one of the following,

a) A friendly banker

b) Lots of money for a few weeks or:-

c) Friends with lots of money, you have the option of also borrowing, why stop at one trust.

d) You are a registered Canadian Pension Plan

2) You need a target, any cash flow rich public company will do, thanks to Canada’s Jim Flaherty income trusts are now on sale 20% off, happy hunting.

Jim obligingly slapped a new 31.5% tax on them which drastically cut their market value, but don’t worry with your new structure you won’t have to pay any tax.

3) Once you have purchased your Income Trust use all the money that was paid to the former unit holders as distributions to pay the interest on the loan which is tax deductible, you should have lots of money left over which will be taxable. Don’t worry this is what accountants are for.

4) These steps are very important, your accountant will now load up the company with debt and additional expenses, purchasing new toys or another company for you, thus ensuring you never make a significant profit or pay any taxes unlike those poor income trust investors.

5) What to do with all that lovely money which is coming your way? There are a few rules your accountant will help, but how about?

a) Starting your own management and advisory firm (in the Cayman Islands of course) and charging your Canadian company heavy fees, $10 million a year for the onerous task if reading the annual report seems reasonable.

b) Make sure your friends and family form their own advisory firms,

c) You will need new branch offices with suitable accommodation in various parts of the world how about The Bahamas, Dubai, Luxembourg or Paris?

d) You will need new company cars, plans and yachts.

e) Call me I really want to help. (for a modest fee)

6) As you site on the deck of your new multi million dollar yacht watching the sun go down raise a glass to Jim Flaherty and the folly of Canadian politicians

If you are a pension fund none the above need apply, but feel free to adopt any points that appeals.

The government recognizes your members are special unlike 70% of Canadians, the income from these companies you own can flow entirely tax free into your fund. It thanks you kindly for the tax that pensioners from your plan will pay during there retirement.

Ordinary Canadians were able to do the same thing with RRSPs and Income Trusts but Jim fixed that with his Tax fairness plan. Jim wouldn’t even thank them for the tax they were paying in retirement, repeatedly before a parliamentary committee he said money from there grubby little hands didn’t count.

The government of Canada recognizes that your members are indeed special and the large pensions they will be capable of collecting from your fund will put them at the burden of having to pay high taxes in retirement, to ease this burden it introduced Income Splitting to help you, it won’t help the majority of Canadian but you are truly special. (and coincidentally mainly government employees)

Please send a thank you note to Stephen Harper and Jim Flaherty.

This is one of several ways how an ill conceived new 31.5% tax slapped on income trusts is creating a loss in tax revenue, actually creating the tax leakage Jim Flaherty claims he was trying to stop, unfortunately for Canadians the rest of his policies are about as well thought out.



Gath Turners Town Hall Meetings on Income Trusts and
Finances in western Canada Schedule

Tuesday, September 4, 2007

Does Stephen Harper deserve an Award?

Breaking promises is nothing new in politics all parties have been guilty, but has Stevie broken a few records?

So far 42 broken promises is probably a record for the total.

Over 30 broken promises in the first 9 months is no doubt a record.

Breaking key election promises on the senate and accountability within hours of being appointed is also no doubt a record.

Although I haven’t been keeping track, the number of lies and smears both in and outside parliament must also be record.

In Canadian history does any other prime minister even come close?

What would be an appropriate prize?